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This guy's either really happy or really angry about his favorite
sports team. Either way, it's probably an overreaction. |
Sports fans, by nature, are quick to blame and praise. After every game, streak, or season, no matter what the result, there will inevitably be individuals that place too much emphasis on a certain aspect of a team's successes or failures.
You know exactly what I'm talking about. Sports radio is filled with this type of talk: is a player the key to a season? Is a player to blame for the loss?
In reality, thousands of decisions go into wins and losses. Just because the ball went through Bill Buckner's legs, Steve Bartman interfered with Moises Alou, and Grady Little left Pedro Martinez in too long doesn't mean those games were decided by those blunders. They were certainly famous (or infamous, depending on your fan affiliation) moments that defined those games, but they certainly aren't the sole reason for the wins/losses.
The same logic should apply to the Yankees. Obviously, during the regular season, there are many moments and decisions that decide games, so judgment tends to fall more on units (offense, pitching, fielding).
Since July 18th, when New York held a ten game lead over the Orioles for the division lead, the Yankees have been in a slump. Record-wise, they've been near .500 (20-24), but compared to how dominant they were beforehand, the past month and a half has been uncharacteristic.
To be honest, during the Yankees latest slump, I've heard both that their offense is to blame, and that their pitching is why they're struggling. I decided to research what is "more of the reason for their slump" - hitting, or pitching.
Here are my findings. This excludes last night's game vs. the Rays.
The Offense
The Yankees have scored 197 runs in 44 games since July 18th. That's an average of 4.48 runs per contest. Not bad. The Bombers have averaged about 4.7 runs per game on the year. Before July 18th, they were averaging about 4.9 runs a game. It's clear the Yankees offense is slumping, but it's still putting the team in a position to win.
For comparison, New York would be 12th in all of baseball in runs scored if it was averaging 4.48 runs per game this season.
The Pitching
New York has allowed 185 runs since July 18th. That's an average of 4.2 runs allowed per game. Not great.
Before July 18th, the Yankees gave up an average of 4.1 runs per game. Still, not great.
If New York allowed 4.2 runs per game for the entire season, they would be in the middle of the pack in that statistic.
The Verdict
If you're looking to blame a unit, blame the offense. It's not that the offense is struggling, but it's not helping the team as much as it did in the first half. New York has scored almost half a run less per game since July 18th.
At the same time, it's difficult to blame a unit that has been hampered by injuries (Granderson, Teixeira, and A-Rod come to mind). Hopefully the offense can get back up to speed when A-Rod is at full strength. I consider it amazing that the Bombers pitching hasn't seen the same type of fall the offense has, considering C.C. Sabathia, Andy Pettitte, and Ivan Nova have been out for portions, if not all, of that time.
Regardless of who's to blame, the Yankees better figure out a recovery plan real soon, because the Orioles and Rays are knocking at the door, and New York is about to give away the keys.